Patriots signing Cam Newton are already changing the odds of betting


You have to pass this on to Bill Belichick and the Patriots. Even with Tom Brady, who is no longer on the list, New England continues to shock, surprise and dominate the NFL headlines

Late Sunday night, ESPN reported that the Patriots signed the largest remaining fish in the free agent market: former Carolina Panthers quarterback Cam Newton. This is a one-year deal with minimal cost. If Newton reaches all of its incentives, the contract will cost $ 7.5 million.

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Newton, 31, has a stellar resume. He won the Heisman Trophy in 2010 in Auburn, was first composed by the Panther in 2011, went through three Pro Bowls and won the MVP award in 2015 when he led Carolina to the 15-1 record and Super Bowl. In his career, Newton threw 29,041 yards, 182 passing touchdowns (plus 58 rapid touchdowns) for a defender rating of 86.1.

However, Newton was limited to just two games last season due to a foot injury, and then released it at the end of March. Since then, Newton has gone through the physical and is now healthy. In recent weeks, he has posted impressive training videos and has had throwing sessions with Odell Beckham, Jr.

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In many ways, Newton's signing is Belicick's classic move with low risk and high returns. Instead of spending a lot of money on a free agent who will replace Brady, Belichik waited until the market bought, and bought a depreciated asset for a penny on a dollar. Newton falls into the category of a very talented reclamation project with something to prove with a massive chip on his shoulder, similar to Randy Moss or Corey Dillon in past years.

Cam Newton; Tom Brady
Cam Newton; Tom BradyNew York Post Illustration, Getty

Newton will compete with second professional Jarrett Stidham and 11-year-old veteran Brian Hoyer for starting work. However, it seems that Newton has an inner track. A week ago, Stidham was a -3030 favorite to kick off for the Pats in Week 1 on the DraftKings, with Hoyer 3/1 and Newton 17/2. But now Newton is a -400 favorite with Stidham 3/1 and Hoyer 25/1.

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Sports books quickly adjusted Patriots futures in a positive way Prior to Newton's signing, Patriots and Bills were among the favorites to win AFC East at +120 on FanDuel. New England is now the only favorite at +105, with Buffalo dropping to +160. Both teams were 23/1 to win the Super Bowl, but now New England is 17/1, and Buffalo has fallen to +32/1.

At William Hill, the Patriots moved from 25/1 to 18/1 to win the Super Bowl, and from 10/1 to 8/1 to win the AFC.

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After signing, BetMGM updated many of the Patriots' special bets, including the exact wins of the season. Pats – 35/1 to win from 0 to 4 games, +130 to win from 5 to 8 games, -150 to win from 9 to 12 games, and 18/1 to win 13-16 games. In other words, the New England favorite will be 9-7, 10-6, 11-5 or 12-4.

Prior to the addition of Newton, the victory of the Patriots in 2020 was 8.5 or 9, depending on the sports book. BetMGM immediately increased the total winnings to 9.5 (more than +105, below -125). Patriots are now – 223 favorites to reach the playoffs (+180 to skip the postseason).

New England is now 20/1 to lead the NFL in regular season victories at BetMGM, second only to leaders (4/1), Ravens (4/1), 49ers (7/1), Saints (8/1), Cowboys (11 / 1), Buchs (11/1) and Eagles (13/1).

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Newton also appears at the top of the Player of the Year list for the comeback. He is now 9/2 to win the BetMGM award, second only to Ben Retlisberger (7/2). Rob Gronkowski took second place since joining the Bucs, but has since dropped to 13/2.

Newton's MVPs have changed from 65/1 to 35/1 on FanDuel. Belichick is the favorite to win the 10/1 coach of the year at BetMGM.

If Newton revives his career and leaves New England after just one season, the Patriots can win back the compensation draft. This can come in handy after the NFL docked the Patriots in the third round of the 2021 draft as a punishment for illegally recording the Bengals Browns in December 2019.

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